Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts

Friday, 15 August 2014

66th Primetime Emmy Awards

This post will attempt to strike a balance between prediction and opinion, I'm going to attempt to half heartedly predict the winners of the upcoming Primetime Emmys, whilst also telling you all who i would like to win, i won't predict direction or writing, as this is tedious, but i will predict all the acting and most of the producing categories.
Programs

Outstanding Comedy Series: Since 2010 Modern Family has had this in the can, this past season was significantly less well received than other seasons, however i believe that the academy will still, honor Modern Family this year.

Outstanding Drama Series: Given that this year represents the last year of eligibility for Breaking Bad, and given that the last season was so highly acclaimed, it seems unlikely that this fantastic drama series would miss out on the trophy this year.

Outstanding Miniseries: This is a tough category to predict, as none of the nominees have been nominated before in this category, and many of them are new shows, i think Fargo is probably the most acclaimed and most widely seen of the nominees.

Outstanding Television Movie: Again, this category did not exist last year, and none of the films have been nominated before, the only film that received high acclaim was The Normal Heart, if this film is snubbed, the only entry that could possibly scoop it is Sherlock: His Last Vow, whose entry in this category, is, frankly confusing.

Acting

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: This is almost certainly a two horse race, it is between Jim Parsons for The Big Bang Theory, who has won the award three of the past four years, and Louis C.K. who has never won, and whose show was particularly acclaimed this year.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series: Julia Louis-Dreyfus has won this award for two years straight, and she may clinch it again this year, however the grounded performance of Taylor Schilling is a refreshing change from the usual hijinks in this category, and seeing as this is her first year of eligability, she is untested in this category.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series: There is absolutely no question here, Breaking Bad has officially ended and thus this award is Bryan Cranston's from the get-go.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series: This is more opinion than prediction, but i really hope that Lizzy Caplan is awarded for her performance in Masters of Sex, Caplan has the kind of natural ability in front of the camera that a young Joan Crawford had, and her performance in this series is stunning.

Thursday, 27 February 2014

Predictions for the 86th Academy Awards

Well now we come to a post that i have been meaning to write for quite a while, my predictions for the Academy Awards, due to be held on the second of march this sunday. It pains me to say that i won't be watching the ceremony live, as i need my beauty sleep, so i will have to wait for the following evening to binge out on the telecast! I will not be predicting all the categories, as there are many that either interest me little or of which i don't have enough knowledge of the nominees. So in reverse order of importance here we go.
Best Visual Effects:  This one seems easy to predict, Gravity was the kind of groundbreaking film that revolutionized the use of visual effects and the use of CGI on film, and deserves to be recognized partially for this film and partly for the technology created that will become broadly used in the years to come.
Best Costume Design:  Whilst i undersztand that i am more than a little biased here, Catherine Martin's costumes for The Great Gatsby were stunning, and her win at the BAFTA's almost guarantees her a statuette.
Best Cinematography: Normally i wouldn't comment on this category, but Emmanuel Lubezki's work on Gravity was hugely praised, he won the BAFTA, and he surely deserves a statuette.

Best Original Song: Well my choice may seem a little bizarre, as this song has yet to win any major awards, but Let It Go from Frozen is an incredible song, and it's the emotional tour de force that the Academy seems to love.
Best Animated Feature Film: I really can't see any film other than Frozen taking this category, my second favorite film of last year is an emotional roller coaster featuring spectacular animation, and i am sure that it will give Disney their first win in this category.
Best Foreign Language Feature Film: Well, this award seems to be taken as well, whilst i am very proud that Belgium has a horse in this race, it seems to me that La Grande Bellezza which has won most foreign language awards this season is poised for the win.

Best Writing - Original Screenplay: Well as much as i though Blue Jasmine was a fantastically written film and that Woody Allen deserves another win in this category, it seems to me that Spike Jonze's  Her is one of this season's most original films.
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: This is a tough one and it seems like a tight race between Philomena and 12 Years A Slave, and as much as i would like beloved brit Steve Coogan to win, 12 Years A Slave written by John Ridley is the historically charged racially driven script that the Academy seems to adore.
Best Supporting Actress: This is the easiest and most difficult category to predict, right now it is an absolute dead heat between Lupita Nyong'o and Jennifer Lawrence. While Nyong'o did win the SAG award and the Critic's Choice, the Golden Globe and the BAFTA have always been better barometers of Oscar success, and thus i predict that Jennifer Lawrence is perhaps the most likely to win on Sunday night.
Best Supporting Actor: Well i know I'd be an idiot to predict otherwise, but Jared Leto is perhaps the only person on this list who could conceivably be called to the stage on sunday night, anything else would be unthinkable.
Best Actress: Again this is easy to predict, and i can't see anyone other than Cate Blanchett taking home the statuette, her performance in Blue Jasmine was incredible and she rightly deserves her first win in this category (after having the award stolen by Gwyneth last time!)
Best Actor: Again here we have a dead heat between Chiwetel Ejiofor and Matthew McConaughey, and it is tough to predict this one, however i believe that Matthew McConaughey will take home the gold on Sunday.
Best Director: This one is easy, and i believe that Alfonso Cuaron will win for his work on groundbreaking epic Gravity. This film is a cinematic and technological breakthrough for which Cuaron has won the Golden Globe and the BAFTA, and a win at the Oscar's seems now inevitable.
Best Picture: This is the big one, and it seems to me that we would need a Crash-like upset in order for 12 Years A Slave not to take home the win on Oscar night.
So there we have it, my predictions for this sunday, what saddens me, is that award season is coming to a close, and thus i will have to wait a full year for it to start again, but all good things must come to an end i suppose.


Friday, 17 January 2014

Analyzing the 86th Academy Award Nominations at the Laundrette

Well, i know that it may seem like i am putting rather a lot of emphasis on awards season at the moment, as i recently said to some mocking members of my family (you know who you are) it’s like my superbowl, and is now my favorite holiday of the year (yes, it’s even better than Christmas). Yesterday, the Oscar nominations were released, and for the first time ever, I watched them being unveiled live, yes, it was pretty exciting. This year the Oscars will be celebrating heroes, superheroes, action heroes and film heroes, and the ceremony will be hosted by Ellen DeGeneres for the second time. Just to be clear in this post I will not be giving my predictions for the results themselves, just commenting on various snubs and surprises, it seems like an appropriate time.

It seems like a good idea to start with the supporting acting categories, the only real surprise in the Best Supporting Actor category was the inclusion of Jonah Hill for The Wolf of Wall Street, his performance in the film is not typical academy fare, and it’s nice for the academy to be finally recognizing comedy. His performance in the film is fantastic, and in some ways is instrumental to DiCaprio’s performance. His inclusion comes of course at the cost of Danel Bruhl’s performance in Rush, in a sense it is a shame that the academy still refuses to properly represent foreign actors, and this year Barkhad Abdi is the only vaguely foreign nominee in any of the acting categories (he was born in Somalia but was raised in Yemen).

There are no surprises this year in the Best Supporting Actress category, and the nominees are the same as they were for the globes, the only snub is the omission of Oprah Winfrey for The Butler, her performance was visceral, painful and touching, and it is a shame that neither the HFPA nor the Academy saw fit to recognize her work. 

In the Best Actor category there were rather a few surprises, as with last year, this is an incredibly stuffed category, and there were many fantastic performances by men this year, the caliber of the actors who were snubbed is testament to this. Christian Bale’s performance is American Hustle was nominated, he truly is a fantastic actor and it was great to see his work on this film nominated. Bruce Dern’s performance in Nebraska also got a nomination, and it’s always nice to se an older actor get recognition, especially after so fine a career.
Now for the snubs, and I’m afraid there were many, perhaps the most obvious omission is Tom Hanks, who was lauded for his work on Captain Philips, and who was nominated for a globe for his performance. I feel that although Hanks didn’t get a nomination, his castmate did, and it is nice to see the academy supporting new and exciting talent. Also snubbed was Robert Redford, whose performance in All is Lost failed to get a nod, this is a shame, particularly as Redford has yet to win an Oscar, but, this category was awfully full this year. Also snubbed were Oscar Isaac and Idris Elba, I was particularly upset by Isaac’s lack of a nomination, as his performance in Inside LLewyn Davis is truly a powerhouse, and his performance is emotional and at times heartbreaking. The only other real snub was Joaquin Phoenix, for Her, this is even more surprising given that he has nominated multiple times for the Oscars and has never won, and that he is clearly not on the Academy’s ‘Hit List’.

In the Best Actress category there were only a few surprises, Meryl Streep’s nomination for August Osage County, although a surprise, is not really a shock, the academy has favored Meryl for years, and although she is a superb actress, her performance in this film is far from special. Of the snubs the most surprising is the omission of Emma Thompson for her work on Saving Mr Banks, her performance in this film was acclaimed by critics, and Hollywood has long favored self-referential films about the making of movies (think ‘The Artist’). Among other snubs was the omission of either of the stars of Blue Is The Warmest Color, although I didn’t really expect this film to get a nomination, I feel that it is essentially a continuum of the Academy’s refusal to grant nominations for worthy foreign language performances.

In the Best Director category, I was delighted for Martin Scorsese to get a nomination for The Wolf of Wall Street, otherwise there were very few snubs, perhaps the only surprisingly omission is Paul Greengrass, director of Captain Phillips. This category, although surprisingly in cases is not the momental flop it was last year, and the nominations seem at least fairly logical.

The Best Screenplay categories also seem fairly logical, the only startling omissions are the snubs of Inside LLewyn Davis and Saving Mr Banks. Perhaps Meryl Streeps smear campaign against Walt Disney worked better than anyone expected. The addition of The Broken Circle Breakdown in the Best Foreign Language Film category is a bit of a surprise,  and it certainly makes me a little proud to be from Belgium! I would describe Blue Is the Warmest Color as a snub, despite the fact that it wasn’t selected as France’s official selection for this category, it is disappointing that this film wasn’t given more recognition.

There were no real snubs in the Best Animated Feature category, the omission of Monsters University will perhaps come as a surprise to some, but overall this film simply didn’t match up to the quality of the other films in competition this year. The surprises are the additions of The Wind Rises and Ernest and Celestine. It is nice to see Hayao Miyazaki nominated seeing as this is it’s last feature film, and it’s great for a couple of foreign animated movies to be nominated this year.

The Best Documentary Feature featured some of the biggest snubs this year, Blackfish failed to receive a nomination despite being acclaimed at Sundance and being a powerful portrayal of a complex subject. Also missing from this category was Stories We Tell, the autobiographical film by Sarah Polley that was largely seen as being a favorite for this category, and of all the categories this year, this category seems to be the most disappointing and illogical.

Now we come to Best Picture, again this was a hugely competitive year, and there were many fantastic films that weren’t nominated here or at the golden globes, the biggest surprises are the Coen Brothers’ Inside LLewyn Davis, Saving Mr Banks, Capitan Phillips and Blue Is the Warmest Color, and it would have been nice to see the latter receive some recognition, in lieu of it being this years’ recipient of the Palme D’Or at Cannes, this again perhaps proves Cannes ineffectiveness at providing a barometer for what will happen during awards season (runner up was Inside LLewyn Davis which also failed to receive a nomination). Also snubbed was Lee Daniels’ The Butler, which although attempting to be Oscar bait, failed to pick up a single major nomination this awards season, (retrospectively this can perhaps be seen as a sign of the Academy’s integrity, I must explore this sometime).

Overall this years’ list seems to be a fairly logical (if a little safe) series of nominees, there are no categories which the academy really screwed up (unlike last year), and the academy even tentatively branched out, nominating more unexperienced actors, and supporting a lot of young talent including the feature film debuts of Lupita Nyong’o and Barkhad Abdi. It is also worth noting that Jennifer Lawrence’s third nomination makes her the youngest person ever to receive three nominations. Overall the biggest snubs are of course Inside LLewyn Davis which failed to pick up a single major nomination despite being a fantastic film, and Saving Mr Banks, which was long thought to be a favorite to win best picture. Lee Daniels’ The Bulter was also snubbed and failed to pick up a single nomination. Finally rounding out this group therapy session is Blue Is The Warmest Color, which wasn’t nominated for a single Oscar. The fact that Jackass was nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling will surely amuse some, but American Hustle’s snub from this category is a mystery (perhaps explosion at the wig factory would have been a better title).

Overall this is a fine list of categories, and the Acadely showed their artistic integrity somewhat by picking some unexpected nominees, and not rising to the bait of some films, I look forward to the Oscars telecast on the second of march, and I am sure that Ellen DeGeneres will make just as fantastic a host as she did last time, and will certainly do a better job than Seth McFarlane.

Sunday, 12 January 2014

71st Annual Golden Globes Predictions

Well, the Golden Globes will be held tonight, hosted by my favorite comics, Amy Poehler and Tina Fey and i thought that i would attempt to predict the outcome of each of the film categories during tonight's ceremony here goes!

Best Motion Picture Drama: Well, i feel that the most deserving film nominated is Gravity, however the most likely winner appears to be 12 Years A Slave, which has been getting a large amount of pre-award season buzz.

Best Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy: Well, although i would like The Wolf Of Wall Street to win this award, the most likely candidate to win is either American Hustle or Her, with American Hustle perhaps being the favorite.

Best Actor In A Motion Picture Drama: This one is again a toss up between Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years A Slave and Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club, Chiwetel Ejiofor has been getting more buzz for his performance, and so is perhaps a more likely winner.

Best Actress In A Motion Picture Drama: This as well is a sure fire toss up between Cate Blanchett and Sandra Bullock, before the release of Gravity, Blanchett was the favorite, however now Sandra Bullock is a sure bet in my humble opinion.

Best Actor In A Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy: My pick for this category is Leonardo DiCaprio, whose performance is visceral, funny and energetic, it is time for Leonardo DiCaprio's talent to be recognized by the HFPA.

Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical Of Comedy: It would be nice for Julia Louis Dreyfus to win this award, however Amy Adams has been receiving much acclaim for her performance in American Hustle, and deserves the win.

Best Supporting Actor In A Motion Picture: It is notoriously difficult to predict supporting categories, however here the most likely candidate is Jared Leto, whose performance in Dallas Buyers Club has received much acclaim.

Best Supporting Actress In A Motion Picture: Again, bizarrely, here we also have a likely candidate, Jennifer Lawrence seems poised for another awards scoop this year for her performance in American Hustle.

Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron's direction in Gravity has been overwhelmingly acclaimed, and thus he deserves to win the Golden Globe tonight.

Best Screenplay: This year, Her seems to represent the most original, heartfelt and insighful material that Hollywood has to offer, the fact that it is not an adaptation seems to cement it's place as this years best screenplay and thus the most logical recipient of the Golden Globe

Best Original Score: Well, this is hard for me to judge, however i will say that Gravity has received much acclaim for it's score, and thus seems a likely winner tonight.

Best Original Song: Well this one is easy to judge, Let It Go from Frozen is a fantastic song, beautifully sung, and has received much acclaim, therefore this is my prediction for the Best Original Song Globe tonight.

Best Animated Feature Film: This again is a no-brainer, Frozen knocks the other contenders out of the water, and is set to become Disneys first win in this category.

Best Foreign Language Film: Although it is perhaps not the best film in this category, Blue Is The Warmest Color is the most well known abroad, and is thus the favorite for the Golden Globe